When does apathy turn to anger

View of 10 Downing Street, 14 March 2024 / Christian Radnedge

It is understandable to think of Britain of a country that doesn’t get riled up too easily. The ‘Keep Calm and Carry On’ ethic passing through generations. That the classic “stiff upper lip” never gives way to extreme emotions seen in other nations throughout history.

Indeed, since the middle ages Britain has had one instance of significant national uprising which resulted in the Civil War and a brief flirtation with being a republic. That experiment resulted in a partial return to the status quo, though with a representative Parliament that has remained more or less the same since.

While revolutions have come and gone the world over, Britain has looked on sipping their tea, raising an arched eyebrow, tutting perhaps at the state of things.

Or rather, the ruling upper class has managed to keep a strangehold on the country thanks to embedding the idea that significant change is just not what Britain does.

The Labour Party, created as a parliamentary organization for the working man, only came into being at the beginning of the 20th Century – more than a hundred years after the French, for example, had risen up and deposed the bourgeoisie in the name of ‘egalitie’.

But this government is starting to stretch the patience of a far too patient electorate.

They already sold a large portion of the country a lie that they were getting some sort of power back in the Brexit vote in 2016 – “Take Back Control”. As it turns out, there was not a whole lot of which to “take back”.

So, other enemies were pointed out: Asylum seekers, those dependent on benefits, foreign students, dependents of foreign care workers, teachers, human rights lawyers, junior doctors, nurses and train drivers seeking fair pay, protestors and the rest.

But Prime Minister Rishi Sunak thinks that by offering a little tax cut, which is offset by other tax rises anyway including council tax, he will give the public a little sweetener that allows him to delay the election until as late as possible. For, who could get riled up when Brits traditionally just plod along and hope things get better?

Here’s the thing. Since 2010 the people of this country have been told that it was necessary to implement significant cuts in public spending – austerity – to bring down Britain’s deficit.

We were told there would be better days ahead – that it would save money in the long run and make our country more efficient. Here we are 14 years later and councils are going bankrupt, people wait more than 12 hours at A&E, they cannot get a GP appointment or see an NHS dentist easily, wages have not risen in line with inflation and generally, well, things are just not working.

Now, the PM is defending taking money from a donor who made the most abhorrent, racist and dangerous comments about a serving MP, Diane Abbott, at a time when we have had TWO MPs murdered by extremists.

Sunak did say the comments were racist, but said that because the man apologized and showed contrition, it was all OK.

Except he didn’t. Frank Hester apologized for his comments being “rude” – he didn’t accept they were racist or sexist or dangerous.

Of course, there are 10 million reasons why Sunak would not want to completely disown Hester from being a friend of the Conservative Party – in addition to significant government contracts.

But what he will discover is that he can’t expect to play the long game and hope the British public just shrug and twiddle their thumbs until the election to have their say for the first time nationally since December 2019.

Since that time, we’ve had the chaos of Boris Johnson’s administration, mad Liz Truss’s complete clusterfuck 49 days including THAT mini-budget and now little Sunak’s complete inability to keep control of the far-right flirting attention-seekers in his party.

When a Prime Minister can’t even define a racist, not just in a donor but in an MP who said that London was in hock to “Islamists”, the country is left wondering who is in control at all.

That’s the question – and the longer he puts off the election, the more Sunak will find this new electorate can get quite angry and volatile.

Since the Civil War, Brits have not risen up and overthrown the leadership – yet.

Who governs the government?

Houses of Parliament / Wikicommons

A Parliamentary recess has allowed Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the government to duck and cover from a particularly brutal period.

First, it was announced the economy entered a recession in the second half of last year, as gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.3% in the three months to December, having shrunk by 0.1% between July and September.

Then, the next day, the Conservatives lost two byelections heavily to Labour who overturned huge majorities to win the constituencies of Wellingborough and Kingswood, respectively.

Sunak tried to play down the results as “difficult” midterm elections. Strange to call them midterm, given he’s already said a general election will take place this year.

But the dominant theme in many mainstream media reports has been the performance of right-wing party Reform UK, who won 13% of the votes in Wellingborough and 10.4% in Kingswood.

That has led to renewed calls within the party to appeal more to those Reform voters, who had helped deliver Boris Johnson’s 80-seat majority in 2019 when the previous guise of the party, The Brexit Party, stood candidates down in the 317 seats already held by Conservatives.

Already Tory MPs have called for tax cuts, tougher restrictions on immigration and welfare and to seriously consider withdrawing from the European convention on human rights.

So, a party with no MPs, polling around 10% nationally and not predicted to win any seats in a forthcoming general election is potentially going to be pandered to more to save the skin of this dying administration.

Deja-vu? We’ve been here before with David Cameron calling an unnecessary and shoddy referendum on Britain’s membership in the EU to stave off the Eurosceptics in his party and in UKIP. Then Johnson made his Faustian pact with the Brexit cause and doomed Rwanda scheme – both protracted and internationally damaging policies.

Meanwhile, a cost of living crisis, public services starved after 14 years of austerity, an inflation boom still biting and rising absolute poverty blights the country.

Sky News reported last week that Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is looking at cutting planned public sector spending in order to lower taxes in next month’s budget.

The thought of introducing more austerity is staggering – and as for the promise of tax cuts, no guesses as to who will probably stand to benefit most from those. Particularly if an inheritance tax cut is introduced. But we shall see.

Real growth and investment in the country is falling while Sunak and his government hopes that just by inflation ticking down a bit from the highs of the last 18 months, people will think he is delivering.

And as thoughts turn to election planning, they will no doubt consider how to feed more meat to the carnivorous far-right snapping at their heels, to extend their stay in power by at least one day more. Leading us to ask: who is it who governs the government?

It doesn’t seem to be the people given that Sunak seems to ignore most major polling on policies and prolongs the wait for the electorate to have their rightful say in how the country is run.

Only an extinction-like polling event at a general election can bring in a new age.

Fight for democracy this year – it’s going to get ugly

Houses of Parliament, December 24, 2023 / Christian Radnedge

A new year traditionally brings a sense of optimism and renewal. There may be renewal aplenty this year but optimism hangs in the balance as 2024 will have people voting in several major elections throughout the world.

Countries making up over 60% of the world’s economic output and more than half of its population are due to hold elections this year. India, South Africa and Mexico head to the polls, while the U.S. presidential election takes place in November and UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has said there will be a general election in the second half of the year.

Sunak is the fifth Conservative Prime Minister in 14 years during which time food bank use has skyrocketed, rough sleeping has increased by more than 150%, inflation is only just slowing from double-digit highs, while public services have been decimated in the aim of preventing the country from falling into financial ruin.

The result is the Prime Minister, who in almost every speaking engagement talks in delusional tones about how the UK is some sort of utopia, can only realistically boast that the country may just about avoid going into recession this year.

Protest march, Lincoln’s Inn Fields, Jan 15 2022 / Christian Radnedge

The polls have the opposition, Labour, at roughly 20 points ahead and that has not shifted for a while now as Sunak’s personal ratings begin to plummet, almost to mad Liz Truss levels.

Not that it means a Labour win and Conservative collapse is a sure thing. Britain has a largely right of centre mainstream media, with many powerful figures entrenched in the class system that has kept the poorest in society in thrall to the richest for centuries.

The attacks have already started and with social media influence and disruption now a powerful tool for those seeking to sow discord, sorting through the deception and manipulation will be a relentless battle.

That will be seen in the United States also as Donald Trump, astonishingly still the favourite to secure the Republican nomination despite the litany of court cases against him, attempts to return to the White House.

An angry, despotic, hell-bent on revenge Trump will be more dangerous than his vainglorious 2016 iteration, especially if his base continues to harden and recoils into their echo chamber. The U.S. economy is in good shape, with unemployment at its lowest rate in decades. But that matters little to those who are driven by ideological fanaticism.

The effect of a Trump presidency in 2024 on global politics is frightening to consider. Vladimir Putin will certainly welcome his return to the White House, as it could prove a turning point in the Russian premier’s war on Ukraine.

Russia have their own presidential election scheduled for March with Putin set to win another six years in power due to his “overwhelming support”. The fact that he recently sent jailed opposition figure Alexey Navalny to an Arctic penal colony shows the Russian president may be feeling a little insecure despite his heavy propaganda, censorship measures and culture of fear.

Dissatisfaction with the invasion of Ukraine has not diminished and almost came to a head last year with mercenary Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin’s aborted march on Moscow. Events around the election, either counter-offensives by Ukraine or domestic demonstrations, could test the patience of Putin’s inner circle.

That makes the need for a united Europe even stronger. The continent was tested last year by elections which included far-right, anti-EU politician Geert Wilders’ Freedom Party winning in the Netherlands, while far-right populists Finns Party recorded their strongest ever showing in Finland, gaining 46 seats and forming part of the coalition government.

In Austria, the pro-Russia, anti-immigration, far-right Freedom Party (FPO) has a clear lead in opinion polls. The election is due before this parliament ends in October. The Socialist Party lead in polls in Portugal ahead of March’s snap election but far-right outfit Chega are eyeing up a Dutch-like shock.

It may feel tiring to challenge constant attempts at division and victimisation but the need for unity and cooperation has never been greater. The world is getting smaller and as we saw with the COVID-19 pandemic, consensus across political divides, benevolence and communal sharing of responsibility helped get us through. As well as highlighting the huge importance of investment in education and health services.

So, we need to fight for democracy this year – because it’s going to get ugly.

Chaos with Cameron – Sunak’s latest act of desperation insults us all

The decision to appoint David Cameron as foreign secretary by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on Monday was reported as a “shock” by most mainstream media outlets. But they failed to add what it really was – an insult.

Former Prime Minister Cameron in 2010 convinced a significant portion of the country, with the help of Liberal Democrat enablers, that austerity was a necessary evil to counteract the effects of the global financial crisis of 2008 and years of what he called “excessive government spending”.

It was evil, all right, but not necessary.

More than 10 years later we see the effects. Billions of pounds of cuts were introduced, limiting council budgets, capping benefits for the poorest, significantly reducing the number of staff working in the public sector and much more all on the back of the promise “we’re all in this together”.

Child poverty rates have gone up steadily since 2010 while homeless households have increased by more than 160% at the same time. In 2010, 60,000 food bank packages were handed out in Britain – in 2022-23 the Trussell Trust says it distributed almost 3 million.

Statistics can only back up what we see with our own eyes. Homelessness almost everywhere, new social housing almost non-existent, prices soaring beyond means, workers striking for better pay and conditions, people rationing their energy, while billionaires continue to grow their fortunes.

So the return of Old Etonian Cameron is not a brave, curious, masterstroke by Sunak. It’s a desperate move from a desperate government, just looking for another headline to get them through the day.

Even in a role as foreign secretary, Cameron does not have a good record. No leadership on Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014, alienation of European allies when sanctioning a needless referendum on EU membership in 2016, then immediately resigning when “Vote Leave” narrowly won.

He even stepped down as a Member of Parliament later that year. Not a man who appears to “believe in public service” as he claims.

What he believed in more recently was generating money and lobbying for failed finance business Greensill Capital. Criminal inquiries into alleged fraud are ongoing in Germany and Switzerland, while a Treasury select committee said in 2021 Cameron had shown a “significant lack of judgment” in messaging ministers and civil servants on behalf of the controversial bank.

Now he has returned – an unelected individual appointed as a Lord by an unelected head of state to serve in the government of an unelected Prime Minister. How’s that for democracy?

We all know that Sunak is just scrabbling around, trying to make any kind of mark that may give him a whiff of a legacy before he has to call a general election he will likely lose.

This latest gambit is not one for political nerds or a tasty bit of gossip – it’s real life. People are hurting. Bringing back the man that kicked off the age of punishment shows how far we have sunk.  

Voices from the Black Lives Matter protest in Parliament Square on Saturday, June 6

Woman at anti police brutality protest in Parliament Square takes a knee in front of Police on horseback

Tens of thousands of people took to the streets of London at the weekend, rallying to condemn police brutality after the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis.

Thousands squeezed into Parliament Square on Saturday, despite the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Most in attendance at around 1pm local time were seen to be wearing masks and there were people offering free masks and hand sanitizer.

The #blacklivesmatter protests have sprung up in cities all around the world since the death of Floyd.

Britain is still in the grip of the novel coronavirus outbreak, but I went to the demonstration in Westminster on Saturday and spoke to some who made the decision to let their voices be heard outside the Houses of Parliament.

20200606_135144[1]

Mike marches from Parliament Square

“I do appreciate there is a pandemic, and we have to maintain social distancing as much as we can and particularly as a black man, I’m 4.2 times more likely to die from this virus… But when I saw what happened last week, there was no way I could sit silent and not act. George Floyd, he was murdered, to have someone kneel on your neck like that is so evil, so I had to come out and let my voice be heard,” Mike said.

“I’m very hopeful. The momentum that is taking place all over the world, I get the feeling that change is about to happen. Something is going to happen, hopefully positive from this.

“I wouldn’t say every day, I have experienced racism but I would not say every day. But it’s there. We have to do 10 times more to attain anything as our white counterpart, so it’s there, it’s there.”

20200606_134110

Katharina and friend from Germany, via Birmingham

Katharina made the journey from Birmingham with her friend to join in the protests.

“I think it’s very important because this issue is there since, I don’t know when. Since slavery, basically – so it’s enough. We have to fight for our rights and we will do so until there is justice,” she said.

“I’m from Germany, so racism in Germany is very present. It’s normal that you get asked ‘where are you from, why are you here’. It’s not normal that you are brown or dark-skinned and you live in Germany and that’s another issue. We live now in Birmingham and came here to do our part on this issue.”

There was little social distancing in the confined space of Parliament Square and Whitehall, but Matt felt that the momentum behind the racial equality movement could not be wasted.

20200606_135425

Matt and his partner

“This is the only time that we can do it. So once the pandemic is over, we may have missed our chance to show some support or actually say there that is something wrong with the system,” he said.

“…This has been years and years and years of the same old people saying ‘this is a just cause, blah blah blah’ but we need to show that we’re not going to take it anymore.”

Matt added his view that there was not much to separate the racial inequalities prevalent in Britain and the United States.

“I think it’s sort of equal,” he said. “The only thing that differentiates the UK from the USA is the fact that we don’t have guns, the police don’t have guns here… The circumstances are the same but it’s just the weapons that are different.

“The (UK) government has been focused on the wrong thing at the wrong time all the time. So in terms of the pandemic they focused on the wrong things right from the beginning. Now, they should be focusing on this and the systemic racism that has been going on for years and years. Myself, I’m not a person that thinks this is just a black thing, or whatever – this is how the system is…”

20200606_132532

Reporting by Christian Radnedge